Jun 16, 2023
Protocol For Predicting Cognitive Outcomes After Spinal Surgery
- Keenan Smith1,
- Christopher Hawthorne2,
- Matthew Sheridan2,
- Eric Jackson2,
- Malcolm Watson2,
- Martin Shaw3,
- Shona McKay2,
- Jonathan Cavanagh1
- 1University of Glasgow;
- 2Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow;
- 3NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde
Protocol Citation: Keenan Smith, Christopher Hawthorne, Matthew Sheridan, Eric Jackson, Malcolm Watson, Martin Shaw, Shona McKay, Jonathan Cavanagh 2023. Protocol For Predicting Cognitive Outcomes After Spinal Surgery. protocols.io https://dx.doi.org/10.17504/protocols.io.bp2l696odlqe/v1
License: This is an open access protocol distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited
Protocol status: Working
We use this protocol and it's working
Created: April 17, 2023
Last Modified: June 16, 2023
Protocol Integer ID: 80624
Keywords: Delirium, Postoperative Delirium, Postoperative Cognitive Dysfunction, Perioperative Neurocognitive Disorders, Processed EEG, BIS, Bispectral Index, Neuroinflammation, CRP, Interleukin 6, IL-6, Interleukin 1-beta, IL-1B, Inflammation, Biomarkers, Spinal Surgery, Postoperative Cognitive Decline
Funders Acknowledgements:
NHSGGC Endowment Fellowship Fund
Grant ID: GN21OR387
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Abstract
Background: Perioperative Neurocognitive Disorders range from short term (postoperative delirium) through medium (delayed neurocognitive recovery) through to long term (mild and major postoperative neurocognitive disorders, sometimes called postoperative cognitive dysfunction) [1]. They are particularly prevalent in the older population, those with pre-existing cognitive impairments and those undergoing major or emergency surgery [2]. Multiple studies have demonstrated correlation between depth of anaesthesia measured using intra-operative processed EEG and postoperative neurocognitive outcomes [3]. Similarly, links between markers of systemic inflammation and neurocognitive outcomes have been explored using both targeted studies of candidate biomarkers and untargeted proteomics studies utilising high throughput multiplex assays [4]. As yet however, the link between systemic markers of inflammation, depth of anaesthesia and perioperative neurocognitive outcomes has not been the subject of prognostic modelling.
Aims: The primary aim of this study will be to use supervised machine learning to build a prognostic model for postoperative delirium based on measures of systemic inflammation and depth of anaesthesia. The secondary aim of this study is to use supervised machine learning to build a prognostic model of postoperative cognitive dysfunction based on measured of systemic inflammation and depth of anaesthesia.
Methods: This pragmatic, observational, pilot study will aim to recruit 50 participants aged over 65 years, undergoing non-emergency spinal surgery. Participants will undergo serum inflammatory biomarkers analysis immediately prior to, and the day following surgery and this data, together with metrics derived from intraoperative processed EEG, will be compared to delirium incidence over the first 5 postoperative days. Similarly, this data will also be used to predict cognitive decline between standardised cognitive tests completed prior to surgery, and those performed at 6 months postoperatively.
Prior to Enrolment
Prior to Enrolment
Screening
Patients awaiting non-emergency spinal surgery at the Queen Elizabeth University Hospital will be identified from electronic waiting lists and screened for eligibility.
Document
NAME
Eligibility CriteriaCREATED BY
Keenan Smith
Approaching Participants
Patients eligible for inclusion will be asked by their clinical team for permission for the study team to approach, and where granted, a patient information sheet will be sent by post or email. Patients eligible for inclusion will be included in the screening log.
Document
NAME
Patient Information Sheet 1.2CREATED BY
Keenan Smith
Enrolment
Enrolment
Consent
Following pre-operative assessment potential participants will be approached by a member of the study team and invited to participate. Potential participants will be given the opportunity to ask any questions they have and, following confirmation of eligibility, will be invited to provide informed consent to participate.
Document
NAME
Consent FormCREATED BY
Keenan Smith
Study Enrolment
Following enrolment in the study participants will be allocated a participant number and a record of their enrolment in the study will be entered into their patient notes. A letter will be sent to their GP confirming their enrolment in the study and the participant will be given a copy of their consent form to take away with them.
Document
NAME
GP LetterCREATED BY
Keenan Smith
Initial Assessment
Initial Assessment
Initial Assessment
Directly following enrolment, participants will undergo an initial assessment consisting of a semi-structured interview, a physical rating, cognitive testing, a mental health assessment, and a relative or friend will act as an informant for a Short IQCODE.
Semi-Structured Interview
A semi-structured interview will gather information on patient demographics, past medical history, medication history, smoking status and alcohol consumption.
Physical Rating
Participants will be reviewed by an anaesthetist for ASA status and will complete an Edmonton Frailty Score.
Cognitive Testing
Participants will undergo a Mini Mental State Exam (MMSE), Repeatable Battery for the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status (RBANS), and Trail Making Tests A & B, administered by appropriately qualified assessors.
Mental Health Assessment
Participants will be interviewed about any personal or family history of mental illness and any medications taken for psychiatric diagnoses. They will also complete a Generalised Anxiety Disorder Assessment (GAD-7) and a Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9).
Short IQCODE
Participants will be asked to bring an informant, in the form of a relative or friend who knows them well, with them to their initial assessment. This informant will be asked to complete a short IQCODE.
Consent to Continue
Participants will be greeted on the day of surgery and will be asked to confirm whether they're happy to continue in the study.
Operation CancellationFrom 6 to 13 steps
In the event that the surgical procedure has to be rescheduled following enrolment in the study, the initial assessment will be considered valid for 12 weeks, after which it will be repeated if the participant is still happy to participate in the study.
Pre-Operative Blood Sampling
Participants will undergo venous cannulation prior to induction of anaesthesia for their surgery. A 4ml sample of blood will be taken from the venous cannula prior to flushing with 0.9% Sodium Chloride solution and stored in a blood sampling vial containing Ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid (EDTA). The sample will be transported to the School of Infection and Immunity at the University of Glasgow where it will be centrifuged and stored for analysis.
Intra-operative Depth of Anaesthesia Monitoring
Prior to induction of anaesthesia participants will have electrodes attached to their forehead which will be attached to a depth of anaesthesia monitor, BIS (Covidien). The monitor will record processed EEG data from prior to induction of anaesthesia through to the end of the operation. After the operation the data will be transferred to a USB drive and stored securely.
Intra-operative Anaesthetic Data
Data regarding vital signs, administered medicines and fluids, intra-operative events and bloods loss will be taken from the anaesthetic chart kept by the clinical team and transcribed into digital format for analysis.
Postoperative Day 1
Postoperative Day 1
Postoperative Blood Sampling
Participants will have an additional 4ml of blood taken in an EDTA vial at the time of their routine postoperative blood sampling the day following surgery. This will be transported to the School of Infection and Immunity at the University of Glasgow and centrifuged before being stored prior to analysis.
Postoperative Day 1 Delirium Assessment
Participants will be visited on the postoperative ward and assessed for the presence of delirium using the 4AT and Delirium Scale (DRS-R-98) administered by appropriately qualified assessors
Positive Delirium AssessmentFrom 3 to 8 steps
In the case that a participant develops postoperative delirium their clinical team will be informed. Their legal representative will also be informed and asked for consent to continue in the study on the participant's behalf.
Postoperative Day 3 +/- 1
Postoperative Day 3 +/- 1
Postoperative Day 3 Delirium Assessment
Participants will be visitied on the postoperative ward and assessed for the presence of delirium using the 4AT and Delirium Rating Scale (DRS-R-98) administered by appropriately qualified assessors.
Postoperative Day 5 Delirium Assessment
Participants will be visitied on the postoperative ward and assessed for the presence of delirium using the 4AT and Delirium Rating Scale (DRS-R-98) administered by appropriately qualified assessors.
Early Discharge6 steps
In the case that a participant is discharged from hospital prior to the fifth postoperative day, data for delirium incidence will be censored at the last completed delirium assessment.
6 Month Postoperative Follow-Up
6 Month Postoperative Follow-Up
Six Month Follow-Up for Postoperative Cognitive Dysfunction
Six months following the date of surgery participants will be invited back, with their informants to an interview repeating the semi-structured interview, physical rating, cognitive testing, mental health assessment and short IQCODE to assess for change from baseline.
Blood Sample Analysis
Blood Sample Analysis
Stored serum samples will be prepared and analysed at the University of Glasgow School of Infection and Immunity using Luminex technology. Samples will identifiable by participant number and whether pre- or post-operative. Samples will be analysed for concentrations of C-Reactive Protein (CRP), Interleukin 6 (IL-6), and Interleukin 1-beta (IL-1B).
Statistical Analysis
Statistical Analysis
Primary Outcome
The primary outcome of the study will be incidence of postoperative delirium as diagnosed by 4AT and DRS-R-98.
Secondary Outcome
The secondary outcome of interest will be incidence postoperative cognitive dysfunction as defined by a reduction in test score by one standard deviation, across two or more cognitive assessments.
Variables
Categorical variables will be expressed as percentage and continuous variables will be assessed for normality before being expressed as either a mean +/- standard deviation or a median and inter-quartile range as appropriate. Variables will be compared between cases and non-cases using Mann-Whitney U tests or chi-squared tests as appropriate.
Model Development
Generalised linear models will be used to analyse variables with respect to incidence of postoperative delirium and postoperative cognitive dysfunction in order to form prognostic models for these outcomes.
Protocol references
[1] Evered, L., et al., Recommendations for the nomenclature of cognitive change associated with anaesthesia and surgery;2018.British Journal of Anaesthesia, 2018. 121(5): p. 1005-1012.
[2] Aldecoa, C., et al., European Society of Anaesthesiology evidence-based and consensus-based guideline on postoperative delirium. European Journal of Anaesthesiology | EJA, 2017. 34(4)
[3] Punjasawadwong, Y., et al., Processed electroencephalogram and evoked potential techniques for amelioration of postoperative delirium and cognitive dysfunction following non‐cardiac and non‐neurosurgical procedures in adults. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, 2018. 2018(5).
[4] Wiredu, K., et al., Proteomics for the Discovery of Clinical Delirium Biomarkers: A Systematic Review of Major Studies.Anesthesia & Analgesia, 2022.